{"id":12627,"date":"2018-08-29T11:11:38","date_gmt":"2018-08-29T11:11:38","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/wordpress.gurbuz.net\/?p=12627"},"modified":"2018-08-29T11:14:27","modified_gmt":"2018-08-29T11:14:27","slug":"aslinda-sevmiyorum-boeyle-seyleri-demistim-demeyi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/wordpress.gurbuz.net\/?p=12627","title":{"rendered":"Asl\u0131nda sevmiyorum b\u00f6yle \u015feyleri, demi\u015ftim demeyi"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Ar\u015fivlerim, b\u0131rak kelimeyi, c\u00fcmleyi hemen olmazsa tek harf bile de\u011fi\u015ftirmiyorum\u2026<br \/>\nYaz\u0131m hatalar\u0131\u2026<br \/>\nInternet ar\u015fivleri ise ispatl\u0131 \u015fahidim!<\/p>\n<p>Ama\u2026<br \/>\nAllah belam\u0131 versin yazd\u0131m, \u00e7ok iyi hat\u0131rl\u0131yorum yazd\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131\u2026<br \/>\nG\u00fcn gelip kapitalizmin \u00e7\u00f6kece\u011fini!<\/p>\n<p>Hem de baya\u011f\u0131 bir oluyor yazal\u0131\u2026<br \/>\nMant\u0131k karde\u015fim mant\u0131k ama bir o kadar \u00f6nemli bilgi\u2026<br \/>\nGelmi\u015fi, ge\u00e7mi\u015fi, gelece\u011fi (\u2026)<br \/>\nToplum, TOPLUMLAR\u2026<br \/>\nHep yaz\u0131yorum kendi toplumun, k\u00fclt\u00fcr\u00fcn, tarihin, dilin bir o kadar \u00f6nemli di\u011ferleri\u2026<br \/>\n\u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc\u2026<br \/>\n\u00c7ok \u015fey \u00f6\u011frenebiliyorsun!<\/p>\n<p>Tarih tekerr\u00fcr etmiyor\u2026<br \/>\n\u0130nsan cehaletinin, unutkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n, aptall\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n neticesinde\u2026<br \/>\nK\u0131s\u0131r bir d\u00f6ng\u00fc, devir daim sadece!<\/p>\n<p>B\u00f6yle YAZ\u2026<br \/>\nB\u00f6yle tan\u0131d\u0131m, sevdim seni\u2026<br \/>\nDe\u011fer verdim, T\u00dcM KITAPLARIN d\u00f6rt duvar\u0131mda\u2026<br \/>\nAk\u0131ll\u0131, uslu, mant\u0131kl\u0131\u2026<br \/>\nVe ger\u00e7ek\u00e7i, b\u00f6yle yaz al can\u0131m\u0131!<\/p>\n<p>###<br \/>\nOkumam\u0131\u015ft\u0131m bahis etti\u011fi kitaplar\u0131, yazarlar\u0131n ismini bile duymad\u0131m d\u0131\u2026<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.docdroid.net\/wqlhhGn\/the-raven-of-zurich-the-memoirs-of-felix-somary-compressed.pdf\" rel=\"noopener\" target=\"_blank\">The Ravens of Z\u00fcrich<\/a><\/p>\n<p>CAPITALISM, SOCIALISM AND DEMOCRACY<\/p>\n<p>https:\/\/eet.pixel-online.org\/files\/etranslation\/original\/Schumpeter,%20Capitalism,%20Socialism%20and%20Democracy.pdf<\/p>\n<p>Theorie der wirtschaftlichen. Entwicklung<\/p>\n<p>https:\/\/www.google.de\/url?sa=t&#038;rct=j&#038;q=&#038;esrc=s&#038;source=web&#038;cd=7&#038;cad=rja&#038;uact=8&#038;ved=2ahUKEwi5tNWNiZLdAhWHtosKHY0bAyQQFjAGegQIAxAC&#038;url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.digibess.it%2Ffedora%2Frepository%2Fobject_download%2Fopenbess%3ATO043-00855%2FPDF%2Fopenbess_TO043-00855.pdf&#038;usg=AOvVaw30V7FwMkKjkeLmYV21DfR0<br \/>\n###<\/p>\n<p><strong>K\u0131s\u0131r d\u00f6ng\u00fc<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Kaos Teorisi\u2026<br \/>\nKarma\u015f\u0131k ve \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclemeyen olaylar\u0131 inceleyen bilim alan\u0131.<br \/>\nBa\u015f ilkesi \u201ckelebek etkisi\u201d; \u0130stanbul&#8217;da kanat \u00e7\u0131rpan bir kelebe\u011fin New York&#8217;ta kas\u0131rgaya sebep olaca\u011f\u0131 ihtimali \u00fczerinde duruyor.<br \/>\nBeklenmedik geli\u015fmeleri nas\u0131l belirleyebilece\u011fimizi \u00f6\u011fretmeyi ama\u00e7l\u0131yor.<br \/>\nEvet, konumuz ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z ekonomik kriz!<br \/>\nBu b\u00fcy\u00fck kas\u0131rgaya kar\u015f\u0131 nas\u0131l \u00f6nlem alaca\u011f\u0131z?<br \/>\nTek c\u00fcmle yazay\u0131m:<br \/>\nBu sadece bizim sorunumuz de\u011fil; d\u00fcnyada var olan finansal sistem-model ya\u015fat\u0131lamaz. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc:<br \/>\nBitmez t\u00fckenmez her k\u00fcresel krizden sonra ge\u00e7ersizli\u011fi daha \u00f6nce ortaya \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015f ekonomik modellere sar\u0131n\u0131l\u0131yor!<br \/>\n\u201cSerbest piyasa\u201d yalan\u0131yla \u201ckalp krizi\u201d ge\u00e7iren finansal sistem \u201cmakineye ba\u011flanarak\u201d ya\u015fat\u0131l\u0131yor! G\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor ki:<br \/>\nOrtalama her yedi y\u0131lda bir \u201chasta\u201d kriz ge\u00e7iriyor. Ama inatla ge\u00e7ersizli\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015f \u015fok tedaviyle ya\u015fat\u0131l\u0131yor\u2026 Oysa:<br \/>\n\u0130ster A. Smith&#8217;in klasik iktisat modeli\u2026<br \/>\n\u0130ster D. Ricardo&#8217;nun kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmal\u0131 \u00fcst\u00fcnl\u00fck modeli\u2026<br \/>\n\u0130ster F. Hayek&#8217;in Avusturya iktisat modeli\u2026<br \/>\n\u0130ster M. Friedman&#8217;\u0131n monetarits\/parasal iktisat modeli\u2026<br \/>\n\u0130ster J. Stiglitz, G. Mankiw, A.Blinder, S. Fischer, D. Romer, J. Taylior&#8217;\u0131n neo-Keynes iktisat modeli\u2026 (Ki J.Maynard Keynes ile alakas\u0131 yoktur.)<br \/>\nGer\u00e7ek \u015fu ki hepsi \u00f6l\u00fc\u2026<br \/>\n\u00d6l\u00fcmlerini ka\u00e7 kez daha g\u00f6rece\u011fiz?<br \/>\nB\u00dcY\u00dcK BELA GEL\u0130YOR<br \/>\nBug\u00fcn bankalar\u0131n bilan\u00e7osunda bir katrilyon dolar var!<br \/>\nD\u00fcnya k\u00f6t\u00fc kredilerden olu\u015fan may\u0131n tarlas\u0131! Son 10 y\u0131lda bor\u00e7lanma 60 trilyon dolar artt\u0131; ve bor\u00e7lanma (bor\u00e7\/GSMH) oran\u0131 tarihi rekor k\u0131rd\u0131. En iyi ihtimalle bat\u0131k kredi miktar\u0131 1.5 trilyon dolar diye hesap ediliyor. Bu borcun \u00e7o\u011fu \u00f6zel sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn! Eskiden oldu\u011fu gibi bu bor\u00e7lar\u0131n devlet borcuna d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr\u00fclmesi de art\u0131k imkans\u0131z; \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc devletler zorda\u2026<br \/>\nBor\u00e7lanma kalk\u0131nmadan h\u0131zl\u0131 seyrediyor. Para politikalar\u0131 -k\u0131sa zamanlarda k\u0131smi k\u00e2rlar getirse de- art\u0131k i\u015fe yaram\u0131yor. B\u00f6ylesine bir \u201cyalan d\u00fczen\u201d s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclemez.<br \/>\n\u0130stihbarat analizi, yetersiz veriyle olaylar\u0131 tahmin etme \u00fczerine kuruludur. Finansal krizin d\u00fcnyada (ve ku\u015fkusuz T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;de) s\u0131kl\u0131kla ya\u015fanaca\u011f\u0131na dair o kadar \u00e7ok veri var ki? \u0130nsanlar g\u00f6rmek istemiyor. Ya da \u015f\u00f6yle yazay\u0131m:<br \/>\n\u2013 Ekonomistler bilim insan\u0131 de\u011fil dogmac\u0131\u2026<br \/>\n\u2013 Akademik d\u00fcnya \u00e7ok y\u0131prand\u0131\/entelekt\u00fcel durgunluk ya\u015fan\u0131yor\u2026<br \/>\n\u2013 B\u00fct\u00fcn siyasal partiler \u201cayn\u0131 re\u00e7eteye\u201d g\u00fcveniyor\u2026<br \/>\nYoksa\u2026<br \/>\n\u201cBirileri\u201d -kendini bile yok edecek- bu ge\u00e7ersiz iktisadi modelleri \u0131srarla neden \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fcze s\u00fcrs\u00fcn? \u00d6rne\u011fin\u2026<br \/>\n1998 ve 2008&#8217;de ABD&#8217;nin ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131 son iki krizin dinamikleri t\u0131pat\u0131p benzer. Ama \u201cbirileri\u201d \u0131srarla bu \u00f6l\u00fcmc\u00fcl k\u0131s\u0131r d\u00f6ng\u00fcden yana!<br \/>\n\u0130nsano\u011flu akl\u0131n\u0131\/rasyonel olmay\u0131 kaybetti; kendini ve ba\u015fkalar\u0131n\u0131 kand\u0131r\u0131yor. Oysa.<br \/>\nAk\u0131l almaz b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fckte belalar geliyor\u2026<br \/>\nKUZGUNLARI TANIMAK<br \/>\nNuh&#8217;un gemisi A\u011fr\u0131 Da\u011f\u0131&#8217;na oturunca peygamber, \u00e7evreden bilgi almak i\u00e7in ilk kuzgun&#8217;u g\u00f6nderdi. Geri d\u00f6nmedi\u011fi i\u00e7in kuzgun lanetlendi kapkara hale getirildi. Oysa\u2026<br \/>\nAdem ile Havva&#8217;ya ilk defin i\u015flemini \u00f6\u011freten kuzgun idi.<br \/>\nZekas\u0131 tart\u0131\u015f\u0131lmaz bir ku\u015f t\u00fcr\u00fc kuzgun! Yunan mitolojisinde \u201ckehanet tanr\u0131s\u0131\u201d olarak bilinen Apollo&#8217;nun yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131yd\u0131!<br \/>\nKuzgun, gelece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor mu?<br \/>\nFelix Somary (1881-1956) ad\u0131n\u0131 duydunuz mu?<br \/>\n\u201cZ\u00fcrih Kuzgunu\u201d deniyordu ona\u2026<br \/>\nD\u00fcnyan\u0131n en iyi d\u00f6viz uzman\u0131 olarak biliniyordu. Finansal facialar\u0131 ve ac\u0131 yans\u0131malar\u0131n\u0131 tahmin etmesiyle \u00fcnl\u00fcyd\u00fc:<br \/>\n\u2013 I. D\u00fcnya Sava\u015f\u0131&#8217;n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fc\u2026<br \/>\n\u2013 1929 y\u0131l\u0131ndaki d\u00fcnya ekonomik krizini \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fc\u2026<br \/>\n\u2013 II. D\u00fcnya Sava\u015f\u0131&#8217;n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fc\u2026<br \/>\nSonra ad\u0131 unutturuldu! Ya\u015fad\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 yazd\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u201cZ\u00fcrih Kuzgunu\u201d kitab\u0131 1960&#8217;ta Almanca bas\u0131ld\u0131. \u0130ngilizce \u00e7evirisi ancak 1986&#8217;da yap\u0131ld\u0131!<br \/>\n\u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc Somary, i\u00e7inde bulundu\u011fumuz k\u0131r\u0131lgan finansal sistemin \u00e7\u0131kmaz yol oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi.<br \/>\nKeza:<br \/>\nViyana \u00dcniversitesi&#8217;nden s\u0131n\u0131f arkada\u015f\u0131 Joseph A. Schumpeter (1883-1950) de ismi unutturulan ekonomistlerden.<br \/>\nGelecekte Uber taksicili\u011fin olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve ka\u011f\u0131t gazetelerin ortadan kalkaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yleyen iktisat\u00e7\u0131yd\u0131.<br \/>\nVe su\u00e7u b\u00fcy\u00fckt\u00fc; \u201cKapitalizm, Fa\u015fizm, Demokrasi\u201d kitab\u0131nda kapitalizmin mutlak \u00f6lece\u011fini yazd\u0131.<br \/>\n\u2013 Gelece\u011fi iktisat\u00e7\u0131 planlamac\u0131lar\u0131n in\u015fa edece\u011fini yazd\u0131\u2026<br \/>\n\u2013 Devletin bulunmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir piyasan\u0131n olamayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 yazd\u0131\u2026<br \/>\n\u2013 Demokrasinin, halk\u0131n idaresinin tecelli etti\u011fi bir ideoloji olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 yazd\u0131\u2026<br \/>\n\u2013 20&#8217;nci y\u00fczy\u0131l\u0131n ilk se\u00e7ilmi\u015f fa\u015fistinin ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131  Wilson oldu\u011funu ve Mussolini ile Hitler&#8217;in onun \u201cpaltosundan\u201d \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 yazd\u0131\u2026<br \/>\nKu\u015fkusuz Schumpeter -t\u0131pk\u0131 Somary gibi- hemen rafa kald\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131!<br \/>\nT\u00fcm bunlar\u0131 yazmam\u0131n sebebi \u015fu:<br \/>\nFarkl\u0131 okumalar yapmal\u0131s\u0131n\u0131z. \u00d6rne\u011fin:<br \/>\nJames Rickards, 35 y\u0131l ABD finans b\u00f6lgesi Wall Street&#8217;te \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u2026<br \/>\nBa\u015fta CIA olmak \u00fczere 16 Amerikan istihbarat kurumunun ba\u011fl\u0131 oldu\u011fu \u00fcst konsey ile Pentagon&#8217;a dan\u0131\u015fmanl\u0131k yapt\u0131.<br \/>\nJohn McCain&#8217;in 2008&#8217;deki ba\u015fkan adayl\u0131\u011f\u0131nda ekonomi dan\u0131\u015fman\u0131 olarak bulundu.<br \/>\nBir kitab\u0131 \u201c\u00c7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015fe Giden Yol\u201d dilimize \u00e7evrildi.<br \/>\nYak\u0131n gelecekte ya\u015fan\u0131lan k\u00fcresel ekonomik kriz ile -kurulu\u015fundan bug\u00fcne- 28&#8217;inci d\u00fcnya medeniyetinin topyekun \u00e7\u00f6kece\u011fini iddia ediyor.<br \/>\nOlaylara farkl\u0131 \u201cpencerelerden\u201d bak\u0131n\u0131z.<br \/>\nSiz \u201ckuzgun\u201d olunuz! Yoksa\u2026<br \/>\nGelen girdap Nuh&#8217;un Gemisi&#8217;ni bat\u0131racak!<\/p>\n<p>https:\/\/www.sozcu.com.tr\/2018\/yazarlar\/soner-yalcin\/kisir-dongu-2596964\/<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ar\u015fivlerim, b\u0131rak kelimeyi, c\u00fcmleyi hemen olmazsa tek harf bile de\u011fi\u015ftirmiyorum\u2026 Yaz\u0131m hatalar\u0131\u2026 Internet ar\u015fivleri ise ispatl\u0131 \u015fahidim! Ama\u2026 Allah belam\u0131 versin yazd\u0131m, \u00e7ok iyi hat\u0131rl\u0131yorum yazd\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131\u2026 G\u00fcn gelip kapitalizmin \u00e7\u00f6kece\u011fini! Hem de baya\u011f\u0131 bir oluyor yazal\u0131\u2026 Mant\u0131k karde\u015fim mant\u0131k ama bir o kadar \u00f6nemli bilgi\u2026 Gelmi\u015fi, ge\u00e7mi\u015fi, gelece\u011fi (\u2026) Toplum, TOPLUMLAR\u2026 Hep yaz\u0131yorum kendi toplumun, &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"http:\/\/wordpress.gurbuz.net\/?p=12627\" class=\"more-link\"><span class=\"screen-reader-text\">\u201eAsl\u0131nda sevmiyorum b\u00f6yle \u015feyleri, demi\u015ftim demeyi\u201c<\/span> weiterlesen<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/wordpress.gurbuz.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12627"}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/wordpress.gurbuz.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/wordpress.gurbuz.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/wordpress.gurbuz.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/wordpress.gurbuz.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=12627"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"http:\/\/wordpress.gurbuz.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12627\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":12630,"href":"http:\/\/wordpress.gurbuz.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12627\/revisions\/12630"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/wordpress.gurbuz.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=12627"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/wordpress.gurbuz.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=12627"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/wordpress.gurbuz.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=12627"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}